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Fed Decision in October?
Total vol. $54.55M

Fed Decision in October?

No change
89%
25 bps increase
12%
50+ bps increase
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
50+ bps decrease
<1%
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Total vol. $29.66M

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep
68%
R Senate, D House
24%
Republicans Sweep
8%
D Senate, R House
1%
Other
<1%
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Total vol. $21.53M

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 22
95%
October 24
89%
October 28
81%
October 31
74%
November 8
60%
November 15
51%
November 22
44%
November 30
39%
December 31
28%
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
Total vol. $59.19M

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Barcelona
24%
Paris Saint-Germain
18%
Arsenal
14%
Bayern Munich
14%
Real Madrid
11%
Manchester City
8%
Liverpool
5%
Atlético Madrid
2%
Inter Milan
2%
Manchester United
1%
Aston Villa
1%
Como
1%
Borussia Dortmund
1%
Real Betis
1%
Roma
1%
VfB Stuttgart
1%
Napoli
1%
Villarreal
1%
Sporting CP
<1%
RB Leipzig
<1%
Club Brugge
<1%
Bodø/Glimt
<1%
Lens
<1%
PSV Eindhoven
<1%
Porto
<1%
Galatasaray
<1%
Shakhtar Donetsk
<1%
Lille
<1%
Feyenoord
<1%
Slavia Prague
<1%
Fenerbahçe
<1%
Slovan Bratislava
<1%
AEK Athens
<1%
LASK
<1%
Viking
<1%
Sabah
<1%
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Total vol. $57.76M

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane
76%
Lamine Yamal
17%
Kylian Mbappé
4%
Lionel Messi
2%
Rodri
<1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
<1%
Ousmane Dembélé
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Fabian Ruiz
<1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Brazil Presidential Election
Total vol. $191.34M

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro
79%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
22%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A
Total vol. $1.25M

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A

Any Player Ultra Kill
100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan
<1%
Any Player Rampage
<1%
NBA: 2027 Champion
Total vol. $29.01M

NBA: 2027 Champion

Oklahoma City Thunder
23%
San Antonio Spurs
20%
Philadelphia 76ers
10%
New York Knicks
8%
Minnesota Timberwolves
6%
Boston Celtics
6%
Toronto Raptors
3%
Detroit Pistons
3%
Miami Heat
3%
Los Angeles Lakers
3%
Denver Nuggets
3%
Cleveland Cavaliers
3%
Houston Rockets
3%
Indiana Pacers
2%
Portland Trail Blazers
1%
Atlanta Hawks
1%
Golden State Warriors
1%
Orlando Magic
1%
Washington Wizards
1%
Utah Jazz
1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Los Angeles Clippers
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Total vol. $715.11M

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance
44%
Marco Rubio
15%
Tucker Carlson
3%
Ron DeSantis
3%
Ted Cruz
2%
Donald Trump
2%
Donald Trump Jr.
2%
Ivanka Trump
1%
Thomas Massie
1%
Brian Kemp
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Glenn Youngkin
<1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
<1%
Josh Hawley
<1%
Rand Paul
<1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
<1%
Tom Cotton
<1%
Katie Britt
<1%
Candace Owens
<1%
Nikki Haley
<1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
<1%
Greg Abbott
<1%
Byron Donalds
<1%
Elise Stefanik
<1%
Elon Musk
<1%
Kristi Noem
<1%
Mike Pence
<1%
Steve Bannon
<1%
Eric Trump
<1%
Joe Kent
<1%
Doug Burgum
<1%
John N. Kennedy
<1%
John McEntee
<1%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
<1%
Tim Scott
<1%
Matt Gaetz
<1%
John Thune
<1%
Tom Brady
<1%
Erika Kirk
<1%
Kim Kardashian
<1%
Mike Johnson
<1%
Rick Scott
<1%
Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?
Total vol. $2.25M

Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?

260-279
38%
280-299
33%
300-319
12%
240-259
10%
320-339
5%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
220-239
<1%
400-419
<1%
200-219
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Total vol. $20.12M

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston
Total vol. $845.88K

New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston

Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown
50%
Pick-Six Scored
50%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Total vol. $38.2M

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 21
99%
October 24
93%
October 27
85%
October 31
82%
November 15
60%
November 30
48%
December 31
38%
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Total vol. $77.61M

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↑ 90,000
56%
↑ 95,000
37%
↓ 70,000
34%
↓ 65,000
23%
↑ 100,000
22%
↓ 60,000
14%
↓ 55,000
11%
↑ 110,000
8%
↓ 50,000
8%
↑ 120,000
5%
↓ 45,000
4%
↑ 130,000
3%
↓ 40,000
3%
↑ 140,000
3%
↑ 150,000
2%
↑ 160,000
2%
↓ 30,000
2%
↓ 35,000
2%
↑ 180,000
1%
↓ 25,000
1%
↑ 170,000
1%
↓ 20,000
1%
↑ 200,000
1%
↑ 190,000
1%
↓ 15,000
1%
↑ 250,000
<1%
↓ 5,000
<1%
↓ 10,000
<1%
↑ 500,000
<1%
↑ 1,000,000
<1%
Bitcoin above ___ on October 22?
Total vol. $928.12K

Bitcoin above ___ on October 22?

72,000
100%
74,000
100%
76,000
100%
78,000
100%
80,000
97%
82,000
53%
84,000
3%
86,000
<1%
88,000
<1%
90,000
<1%
92,000
<1%
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